CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2024-12-29T18:24:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2024-12-29T18:24ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/36088/-1
CME Note: Partial halo seen as a faint leading edge without much overflowing material behind the leading edge, seen to the south and southeast in SOHO LASCO and east-southeast in STEREO A COR2. Likely associated with an eruption from AR3939 near S18E15 seen as quickly breaking field lines near the active region seen best in GOES SUVI 131, 195, 284, 304. The attached WSA-Enlil+Cone simulation should not be interpreted as a forecast and is likely to overestimate geomagnetic impacts at Earth given that the measurement represents the faint shock associated with the CME, which does not contain much observed material behind the leading edge.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2025-01-02T10:05Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-01-01T04:48Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 55.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.8 - 6.4
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -130.87 hour(s)
Difference: 29.28 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:57Z
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